Tony Abbott says there won’t be an election in 2015 but try telling that to the punters with online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au, who’ve identified October and November as the most likely months.
All bar one of the bets Sportsbet have taken are for the election to be held at some stage in 2015.
October 2015 has come in from $16 to $15 while November is now a $16 chance (in from $17).
The long wait to September 2016 remains the $5.00 favourite.
“Punters are voting with their dollars on the election being held at some stage in 2015 and judging by the market, we’ll be heading to the polls in mid to late spring,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Christian Jantzen.
Market courtesy of sportsbet.com.au:
Month of Next Election
$251 July 2015 (out from $51)
$11 August 2015 (out from $9.00)
$9.00 September 2015 (out from $7.00)
$15 October 2015 (in from $16)
$16 November 2015 (in from $17)
$34 December 2015
$10 January 2016
$10 February 2016
$10 March 2016
$10 April 2016
$16 May 2016
$10 June 2016
$15 July 2016
$6.00 August 2016
$5.00 September 2016
$8.50 October 2016
$13 November 2016
$21 December 2016
$51 January 2017
